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Soda ash spot off-season is not light peak season is not prosperous, the recent stabilization probability is greater

2024-07-25168

Inventory:

On June 27, the total inventory of domestic soda ash enterprises was 939,000 tons (including the external inventory of some manufacturers), which increased by 6% compared with the inventory of June 20 and 151.1% compared with the same period last year, among which the heavy inventory was 460,200 tons, increasing by 5.9% compared with the inventory of June 20. This week, the overall starting load of soda soda manufacturers is still high, the market supply is sufficient, the new single follow-up situation is general, and the overall inventory of manufacturers continues to increase.

The overall starting load of soda soda manufacturers has increased, and the market supply has increased. During the month, the futures disk price has declined, the market trading atmosphere is not smooth, middlemen more active shipment, part of the current business price advantage. Downstream users have general purchasing enthusiasm, take goods at low prices, purchase on demand, and have obvious sentiment of soda ash. Ash ash manufacturers within the month shipment pressure increased, some manufacturers inventory continued to pick up, flexible orders for shipment.

Glass market volume price is weak, the price of many places generally moved down, the transaction month, part of the production and sales rate is low. In the month, some demand in the northern region improved slightly, but the supply increased slightly, the current supply in the superposition period impacted the market, the transaction in the middle and late days was generally weak, the production and sales rate in Shahe region continued to be low, and the enterprise inventory increased rapidly. The rain in the southern area is more, and the terminal construction is affected to some extent. Although some production lines have stopped production, the good news is limited, and the transaction continues to be general. In June, in the middle and lower reaches continue to digest their own inventory, wait and see the strong, there is expected to be a certain replenishment demand in July, but most will still be their own orders. From the current market situation, the public construction home decoration project order feedback improved in May, residential project orders are still lacking, focusing on the improvement of downstream processing plant orders in July. Capacity continues to shrink this month. By the end of June, it is estimated that there are 307 float glass production lines (excluding a few zombies and relocated production lines), 249 in production, with a daily melting capacity of 169,565 tons, down 2950 tons compared with last month (revised 172515), an increase of 1.29% compared with the same period last year.5 production line cold repair / production, 1 new ignition, 5 lines of production.

At present, in Henan Junhua and Jiangsu Jingshen maintenance, Tianjin factory has a maintenance plan in July, and there is a certain instability in the soda ash supply in the high temperature season. Driven by the growth of photovoltaic glass demand, the heavy demand has maintained a growth trend. Light downstream demand is weak, downstream users to take goods enthusiasm is not high. In July, there are still some imported goods into the domestic market, forming a certain supplement to the domestic source of goods.

Recent soda ash supply maintained at a high level, planning maintenance enterprises are not many.soda ash manufacturers have high inventory and high concentration, and the inventory is mainly concentrated in northwest, southwest and North China. In the high temperature season in July, there is some uncertainty in the supply of soda ash. After the price of soda ash decline, downstream users replenishment willingness to increase.(Pure alkali)